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Assam Seen as Straight Contest for BJP, Tamil Nadu Draws Upset Potential

Elections in India rarely travel in straight lines, yet this particular multi-state cycle—spanning five assemblies and one Union Territory—seems, at least on the surface, to be doing exactly that. Assam appears settled, almost politely so, into the familiar embrace of the Bharatiya Janata Party. Tamil Nadu, by contrast, refuses to conform to any neat prediction. It is here, in this southern theatre of politics and pride, that uncertainty breathes more freely, where outcomes are less foretold and more argued over in drawing rooms, tea stalls, and television studios that thrive on speculation. In Assam, the narrative has acquired a certain monotony. The ruling dispensation under Himanta Biswa Sarma has managed to project both authority and continuity, two qualities that voters, weary of experiments, often find reassuring. The Indian National Congress, once a formidable force in the state, now appears fragmented, its voice weakened not merely by electoral setbacks but by an inability to o...

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